Apollon Kalamaria vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
IRA
1 - 1
APO
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
APO
1 - 1
LAR
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ETH
2 - 0
APO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
APO
0 - 3
PAO
29%
30%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LEV
1 - 0
APO
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ARI
0 - 1
APS
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ARI
1 - 4
PAN
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ARI
2 - 2
XAN
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
OLY
2 - 0
ARI
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |