Champions League 1/16
Global 0-10
APOEL vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
APO
0 - 2
SCP
37%
23%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
16 - 1
APO
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
GJO
0 - 1
APO
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
APO
6 - 0
GJO
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
S04
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
BRE
64%
19%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
STU
0 - 2
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 1
KAI
67%
18%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |