Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-3
APOEL vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
SHR
2 - 0
APO
47%
22%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
APO
1 - 1
TOR
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 0
APO
90%
7%
3%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 0
APO
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
APO
1 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
SHR
2 - 0
APO
47%
22%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
S04
3 - 0
SHR
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
SHR
2 - 1
S04
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
SHR
1 - 2
RAN
46%
21%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
RAN
1 - 0
SHR
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |