Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
APOEL vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 1
APO
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
DOX
1 - 3
APO
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
APO
2 - 1
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GDA
1 - 2
APO
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
ARK
2 - 0
APO
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 1
APO
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
KZA
1 - 0
SUD
10%
19%
72%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KZA
0 - 3
SUD
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 3
SUD
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |