Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
APOEL vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
SBR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SBR
2 - 0
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
PET
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
UES
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
GRO
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |