APOEL vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
OMO
1 - 3
APO
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
ENT
2 - 5
APO
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
APO
4 - 0
PAP
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BVB
1 - 1
APO
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ETH
1 - 1
APO
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
RMA
22%
22%
57%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
UDL
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
TOT
3 - 1
RMA
18%
20%
62%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 1
RMA
4%
10%
86%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
FUE
0 - 2
RMA
3%
9%
88%
|
93 | 54 | 39 | +1 |