APOEL vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
APO
1 - 1
APO
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ANO
2 - 0
APO
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
APO
2 - 1
ENO
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ERM
0 - 2
APO
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AEL
2 - 2
APO
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
PAF
0 - 0
OLY
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PAF
0 - 0
APO
47%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
ALK
2 - 3
PAF
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PAF
0 - 1
ETH
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PAF
2 - 0
AEK
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |