Cup Last 16
Global 4-0
APOEL vs Olympiakos Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
APO
1 - 1
OTH
73%
18%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
APO
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AEL
2 - 1
APO
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
APO
1 - 1
AYI
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ERM
2 - 1
APO
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiakos Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ENP
1 - 2
OLY
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
APO
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 1
KAR
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
N&S
4 - 1
OLY
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ARI
3 - 1
OLY
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |