APOEL vs Nea Salamis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
5º
5º
3
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 53 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 53 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 50 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 44 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 33 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 29 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 22 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 18 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
83.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ENO
0 - 4
APO
15%
26%
60%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 3
APO
21%
27%
53%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
ETH
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
RIG
45%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nea Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PAP
4 - 0
NEA
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 3
NEA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NEA
3 - 1
APO
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NEA
2 - 3
OMO
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEA
2 - 2
ANO
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |