APOEL vs Nea Salamis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
1º
45
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 2
OMO
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 2
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
DOX
73%
20%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
OMO
1 - 2
APO
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ENO
1 - 2
APO
11%
24%
65%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nea Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
NEA
1 - 1
AEL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NEA
2 - 2
OLY
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 0
NEA
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 0
NEA
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
NEA
0 - 1
ANO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |