Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
APOEL vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
APO
2 - 0
IRA
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
IRA
0 - 0
APO
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
APO
0 - 1
ZOR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ZOR
2 - 0
APO
55%
20%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
APO
0 - 1
LIE
52%
20%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 0
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
FCC
0 - 0
NAP
25%
31%
45%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOG
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOG
0 - 2
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1976 |
NAP
4 - 0
VER
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |