APOEL vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
APO
3 - 2
AEK
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
APO
5 - 1
ENT
90%
9%
2%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
OMO
1 - 3
APO
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ANO
2 - 2
APO
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
APO
3 - 3
OMO
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 5
MUR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
7 - 1
FIO
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 1
PEN
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
CAI
1 - 2
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |