Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 5-4
APOEL vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
APO
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
APO
1 - 0
FLO
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
FLO
0 - 0
APO
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AEL
1 - 1
APO
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
APO
4 - 0
AEK
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
APO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
NKO
0 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCK
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
CEL
3 - 3
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 0
NKP
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |