Europa League 1/32
Global 4-6
APOEL vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SER
3 - 1
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
APO
0 - 3
SER
5%
18%
77%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ARG
4 - 0
APO
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
APO
1 - 1
ARG
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
APO
2 - 1
BFC
7%
17%
76%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
CVA
4 - 0
LSO
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 1
SSO
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
LSO
2 - 0
LSO
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 0
OFK
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |