Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-11
APOEL vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
LIE
10 - 1
APO
53%
20%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
APO
0 - 2
DUN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
DUN
10 - 1
APO
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
BRE
5 - 0
APO
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
APO
0 - 5
BRE
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
LIE
0 - 0
MOL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
LIE
10 - 1
APO
53%
20%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SDL
1 - 0
LIE
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
LIE
1 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
LIE
0 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |