APOEL vs Karmiotissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
5º
5º
21
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
60% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
70% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
APO
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
AST
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
ENO
73%
19%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
NOA
1 - 3
APO
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OMO
2 - 2
APO
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Karmiotissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
ENO
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
KAR
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AEL
4 - 0
KAR
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
ANO
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
KAR
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |