Europa League 1/32
Global 0-5
APOEL vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
PAP
0 - 2
APO
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
APO
0 - 0
APO
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
OLY
0 - 1
APO
37%
24%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
APO
45%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
APO
1 - 1
NEA
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
LEV
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
COT
0 - 2
HER
27%
26%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
FCN
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
HER
1 - 0
ABE
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |