APOEL vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
APO
2 - 0
ANA
80%
16%
5%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ENO
0 - 2
APO
27%
29%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ZEN
0 - 0
APO
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
APO
2 - 0
ERM
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 0
APO
25%
28%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SHA
5 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
KPT
0 - 5
SHA
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 2
FCP
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 0
MED
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OBO
0 - 2
SHA
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |