APOEL vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
6º
1º
26
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
PAP
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ANO
1 - 1
APO
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APO
1 - 1
APO
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OMO
2 - 1
APO
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
APO
1 - 2
GEN
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
KAR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 1
OTH
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
5 - 5
ETH
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ANO
3 - 1
ETH
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
4 - 1
NEA
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |