Cup Last 16
Global 7-1
APOEL vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
APO
2 - 1
OMO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAP
2 - 3
APO
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
APO
7 - 1
ETH
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
APO
1 - 2
APO
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
APO
0 - 4
APO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ANO
4 - 0
ERM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ERM
2 - 1
NEA
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
AEL
1 - 0
ERM
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
ALK
3 - 4
ERM
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ERM
4 - 0
OLY
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |