Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-5
APOEL vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
APO
1 - 0
PEL
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
PEL
0 - 0
APO
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ANO
0 - 2
APO
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ANO
3 - 0
APO
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
APO
2 - 0
OMO
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
HAJ
1 - 1
CRV
28%
29%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CRV
1 - 0
BEO
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
BZR
1 - 2
CRV
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CRV
4 - 3
SME
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MLA
0 - 1
CRV
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |