APOEL vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
APO
5 - 0
ERM
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ETH
0 - 4
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
APO
1 - 0
ERM
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DOX
1 - 2
APO
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
APO
3 - 1
ENO
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ARI
1 - 1
APO
31%
23%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ARI
2 - 2
ERM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ENO
1 - 0
ARI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ARI
2 - 4
APO
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
APO
3 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |