APOEL vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
5º
5º
21
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 52 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
78% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
FIO
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
ANO
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
BBL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 5
APO
16%
26%
57%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ANO
1 - 0
AEL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 2
AEL
21%
20%
59%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 1
AEK
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 2
AEL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
5 - 2
ETH
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |