Cup Last 16
Global 0-1
APOEL vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARI
0 - 1
APO
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
APO
0 - 0
OLY
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 1
APO
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
APO
3 - 0
AEK
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OMO
1 - 3
APO
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 2
AEL
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AEL
0 - 3
OMO
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
AEL
0 - 9
VIT
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ENO
0 - 4
AEL
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
AEL
2 - 0
NEA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |