APOEL vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
PAE
1 - 3
APO
21%
26%
54%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
AEL
2 - 3
APO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 4
APO
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
APO
2 - 0
DOX
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
ARI
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
AEK
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
AEK
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
ANO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
PAE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |