Apkhazeti vs Shavnabada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
3.6%
6-3
1.1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.8%
5-3
1.8%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
11.4%
10.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apkhazeti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
SOK
1 - 1
APK
44%
20%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
APK
3 - 1
KOJ
27%
19%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
APK
0 - 1
RUS
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
APK
81%
11%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
APK
1 - 11
FKM
15%
19%
67%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
Shavnabada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 3
RUS
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 2
SHA
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 10
FKM
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
KOL
3 - 0
SHA
81%
11%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 8
GAR
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +1 |