APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
API
1 - 2
HAS
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
API
6 - 3
BON
79%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
API
6 - 2
SYD
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
API
15%
19%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
API
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 5
MEL
4%
10%
87%
|
72 | 29 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
OAK
2 - 4
MEL
5%
11%
85%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
MEL
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |