APEP vs Ethnikos Assias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
KOU
4 - 0
APE
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APE
2 - 0
OLY
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GER
1 - 0
APE
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
APE
3 - 1
AEP
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OMP
3 - 0
APE
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Assias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
ETH
33%
25%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 1
AEP
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 0
ETH
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 0
KOU
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GER
1 - 2
ETH
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |