APEP vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
APE
2 - 1
APO
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
ANA
3 - 2
APE
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
APE
1 - 3
ENO
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
OLY
2 - 0
APE
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
APE
2 - 2
OMO
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
ETH
5 - 0
ANA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETH
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
ETH
3 - 1
AEK
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
NEA
2 - 1
ETH
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
ETH
2 - 3
APO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |