APEP vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
APE
1 - 1
ETH
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DOX
1 - 0
APE
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
APE
0 - 0
AEL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
APE
3 - 3
PAP
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OMO
4 - 3
APE
73%
19%
8%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
ERM
0 - 1
APO
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
APO
5 - 0
ARI
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
APO
5 - 0
ERM
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ETH
0 - 4
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
APO
1 - 0
ERM
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |