APEP vs APEA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
APE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APE
1 - 3
ANA
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAM
3 - 0
APE
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ORM
4 - 1
APE
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APE
0 - 2
KOU
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
APEA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
APE
3 - 0
OMP
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
APE
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
APE
0 - 0
ETH
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AEP
0 - 1
APE
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APE
0 - 1
ASI
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |