Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
ANA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 2
APA
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |