Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
APA
5 - 4
CRA
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
APA
3 - 3
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
ITU
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 4
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |