Aparecidense vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
APA
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 1
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
APA
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 3
APA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAN
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
REM
17%
25%
58%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
6 - 0
UNI
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
YPI
12%
25%
64%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |