Aparecidense vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
APA
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
APA
0 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
APA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
URO
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
GAM
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
3 - 3
URO
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |