Aparecidense vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
7DE
1 - 2
APA
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
APA
0 - 1
LUZ
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
ANA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 1
URO
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
URO
2 - 0
7DE
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CUI
1 - 1
URO
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
URO
0 - 3
CUI
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
URO
2 - 1
AAC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |