Aparecidense vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
APA
3 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 4
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 3
ANA
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRI
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | -1 |