Aparecidense vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
APA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 4
GOI
14%
18%
68%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
3 - 2
SOB
15%
20%
65%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SOB
3 - 1
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
28%
23%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
5 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |