Aparecidense vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
APA
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
NME
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
APA
0 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
JAR
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GAM
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 0
VIL
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
2 - 1
JAR
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |