Aparecidense vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
IPO
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
APA
3 - 0
GOI
12%
18%
71%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
GOI
25%
23%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
GOI
3%
8%
89%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 2
JAR
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 4
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 2
JAR
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |