Aparecidense vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
APA
0 - 1
CAL
45%
28%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
APA
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
73%
19%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 2
GOI
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
DES
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
RIO
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |