Aparecidense vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
APA
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
APA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
27%
30%
44%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
OPE
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |