Aparecidense vs Novoperário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 4
APA
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SIN
0 - 2
APA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APA
0 - 1
SIN
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
APA
3 - 2
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
APA
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Novoperário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIN
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CEI
2 - 1
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
CEI
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
SIN
2 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
APA
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |