Aparecidense vs Novo Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 2
APA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 2
APA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
APA
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 3
ANA
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
GOI
2%
6%
92%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
NOV
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 4
GOI
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |