Aparecidense vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
APA
0 - 1
VIL
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
APA
2 - 1
JAT
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAT
0 - 3
APA
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
NME
0 - 0
LTD
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
LUV
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 0
NME
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
DBO
0 - 1
NME
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |