Aparecidense vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
APA
3 - 3
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 6
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 4
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
ITU
31%
24%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |