Aparecidense vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
APA
3 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
APA
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
APA
2 - 3
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 0
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
GOI
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
4%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATL
12%
18%
71%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
5 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |