Aparecidense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
INT
0 - 2
APA
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
APA
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
APA
2 - 1
SDJ
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
APA
4 - 0
INT
79%
16%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
APA
19%
24%
56%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SDJ
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
APA
19%
24%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |