Aparecidense vs Inhumas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
APA
3 - 0
JAT
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
APA
1 - 0
OVD
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ABC
3 - 1
APA
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Inhumas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JAT
2 - 0
INH
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
INH
1 - 0
OVD
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
INH
2 - 1
GIO
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
0 - 1
INH
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
INH
2 - 0
TRI
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |