Aparecidense vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IPO
1 - 1
APA
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 0
ANA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
ATL
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ANA
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 2
GRE
41%
24%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
GOI
6%
12%
82%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
IPO
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 2
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |